A Strong Dollar Policy Versus Trade Wars

Talking Points: There are many themes that jostle for influence over the Dollar, but monetary policy and traditional growth are clearly losing sway Cross currency influence still carries considerable weight, but political risk (trade wars) seems the most active theme Trade wars that involve the US as a participant are short-term and long-term negative for […]

The EUR/USD 1 Minute Versus 1 Month ECB Response

Talking Points: The ECB rate decision is due Thursday at 12:45 GMT with the President typically due for his presser 45 minutes later There is little chance of a policy change at this meeting, but market participants are already attuned to forward guidance Speculation is already running hot behind Euro bulls, and drawing attention to […]

Euro Positioned to Continue Rally versus Greenback, Commodity Currencies

Fundamental Forecast for EUR/USD: Bullish – Continued rise in US political risk has increased Euro’s appeal versus US Dollar, particularly as timeline for US fiscal stimulus appears to have been pushed back significantly. – The retail crowd still isn’t buying into the EUR/USD rally – which means it may have more room to run yet. […]