Weekly Trading Forecast: Can Key Events like China GDP Cut Through Political Risk Volatility?

Benchmarks indices and currencies from the Dow to the Dollar continue to burn through volatility, but meaningful trends remain elusive. Can key event risk like China GDP or the BoC rate decision offer clarity to counter the general uncertainty of political risk? US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar Range Continues as Inflation Prints at One-Year Highs […]

EUR/USD Weekly Technical Outlook: Choppy Euro Trading to End Soon

EUR/USD Technical Highlights: EUR/USD choppy trading could soon be nearing a resolution Looking increasingly like a bull-flag consolidation (or triangle) Levels and lines worth watching See our Top Trading Opportunities for 2018 and expectations for market volatility this year on the DailyFX Trading Guides. It’s been a difficult past several weeks trying to discern what […]

Will USD/JPY Break its Trading Range?

USD/JPY has been lacking inspiration lately. USD/JPY has been unable to penetrate the resistance trend line formed since 2015. As a result, the market may be trading on its heels for the first part of 2018. The sentiment reading for USD/JPY is currently +1.5 that means 60% of traders are currently long. Sentiment is a […]

What to Expect Trading the First Day, Week and Month of 2018

Talking Points: December is historically the most sanguine time of the year as liquidity drains and motivation for breakouts and trends subsides Historically, January doesn’t offer up a dramatic volatility return according to VIX seasonality; but S&P 500 suggests differently While recent history points to volatile Januaries, we should take both seasonal and structural conditions […]

Top Trading Opportunities for 2018

The Euro is running out of reasons to rise, inflation might push the BoE to hike which can boost the British Pound, and a supply glut might send crude oil lower. What else in 2018? These are just a sample of our top trading opportunities for 2018. Do you want to learn about more of […]

FX Options Pricing in Holiday Trading; USD/CAD & NZD/USD in Focus

What’s inside: Implied volatilities decline sharply, reflecting the holiday trading environment through year-end Barring any major headlines this means expectations for volatility need to be tempered USD/CAD & NZD/USD have highest relative expectations based on differential between short and intermediate-term implied volatility Check out the IG Client Sentiment data page to see how retail traders […]